We are pleased to present the 1th issue of 2026 of John Lukacs Analyses on Global Affairs: 2026/1.The effect of voter realignment on US foreign policy
Key insights from this analysis include:
- In his second term, Donald Trump places greater emphasis on the implementation of the “America First” foreign policy doctrine.
- The voter coalition underpinning the Republican Party has undergone significant transformation in recent years, a shift that influences President Trump’s foreign policy.
- The Republican Party is no longer primarily the party of the upper classes; its most important voter base now consists of individuals with lower levels of formal education, who are more receptive to the “America First” message and the foreign policy that follows from it.
- Political realignment is a continuous phenomenon in American politics, and the Democratic Party is expected to attempt to regain the support of the working class.
- The latter development could, in the long term, alter U.S. foreign policy priorities due to domestic factors.
You can read the full paper on the John Lukacs Institute website.